Edgity is a multi-sport quantitative analytics engine for football, tennis, and NBA. A deterministic model — not an AI guess — runs every match, finds genuine value, and stays silent when the numbers don't justify a bet.
Early subscribers start with a 14-day free trial at launch. No spam — one email when we go live.
The same pipeline runs on every match across all three sports. No tipsters, no vibes — a transparent chain from raw data to a probability you can interrogate.
A Poisson + Dixon-Coles core, blended with xG and league-specific calibration, estimates the true probability of every outcome — not the bookmaker's.
Probabilities become fair prices, stripped of the bookmaker margin, so you compare like with like instead of guessing what's "good value."
Where the market price drifts above our fair price, there's positive expected value. Bayesian shrinkage keeps the model honest on small samples.
Only edges that clear a strict EV threshold surface as picks. Most of the time, the honest answer is NO BET — and that's the point.
Each sport gets its own tuned model and live in-match view — but the same disciplined math underneath.
Dixon-Coles core with goal-timing, momentum and lineup awareness across 50+ leagues.
Live in-match momentum with a 7-stat read on serve, breaks and set pressure.
Player-role and pace-aware totals, calibrated on real games — data over assumption.
Every match comes with an AI read that tells you why the numbers look the way they do — the matchup, the momentum, the context behind the model. It never hands you a bet to place. The math decides; the Assist helps you understand it.
Aggressive vs. defensive, derby chaos, a bunker game — it names the kind of match before a ball is played.
In tennis, a 7-stat read on serve, breaks and set pressure. In football, lineup-aware context the moment the XI drops.
Bound to the model's own numbers with anti-hallucination rules — it explains the data, it doesn't invent it.
Most products sell you confidence. Edgity sells you discipline. Roughly two times out of three, the model finds no real edge — and says so.
A deterministic statistical model you can reason about — not a language model improvising a number.
Every pick is backed by a measurable expected value, with the probability shown so you can judge it yourself.
Calibration and shrinkage built in. When the data is thin, the model widens — it doesn't pretend.
Drop your email and we'll let you know the moment Edgity goes live on Android.
14-day free trial for early subscribers. One email at launch, nothing else.