A deterministic statistical model calculates the probability of every outcome — 100+ football leagues, in one app.
Edgity is a football match analysis app made by Gyüre Gergely e.v. in Hungary. It shows model probabilities for 100+ leagues on Android and the web. It does not give betting tips.
One account, both places. Your Pro works on Android and the web.
Free to start — your first day is fully open, then 3 football matches a day.
1X2, Over/Under, both teams to score and score bands — for every match we cover.
Live stats as they happen — possession, shots, corners, cards — and the next-goal probability by minute and score (in the app).
Ask about any match and get the reasoning behind the numbers in plain language.
Across Europe, the Americas, Asia and Africa.
Recent form, xG, home and away splits and team strength. Once the starting XI is published, key absences are priced in.
When the model says 75%, it should land about three times in four.
When the data is thin or the picture is unclear, the model says so instead of guessing.
From expected goals to a probability for every scoreline: the data the model uses, how it turns it into percentages, and what it leaves out.
Read →A 60% chance is not a promise. What the number says about a match, what it doesn’t, and how to tell whether a model’s 60% is honest.
Read →In most matches no result is more likely than not. What that means, why it is normal, and how Edgity shows it instead of inventing a pick.
Read →Your first day is fully open, then 3 football matches a day. No ads, no payment details.
Everything included — all matches, live view, AI Assist and Combo Lab. Weekly, monthly or annual.
Start free — your first day is fully open, then 3 football matches a day.
One account, both places. Your Pro works on Android and the web.
No ads. No payment required to start.
On iPhone? Use the web app in your browser today — or leave your email and we'll tell you when the iPhone app lands.
We don’t publish a hit rate: a single percentage says little about probabilities. What we check is calibration — when the model says 60%, that outcome should happen about 6 times in 10 over many matches. How the model works explains the data and the method. A public track record will follow later.
Edgity’s probabilities come from a statistical model; the AI only explains them. The model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score — from goals scored and conceded (home and away separately), the league’s goal level and home advantage, expected goals (xG) and recent form — and turns that into a probability for every scoreline. Missing key players are built in: our own key-player engine estimates how much each absence lowers a team’s expected goals. We deliberately leave out what can’t be measured reliably — coach changes, transfer news, dressing-room stories — so the numbers stay consistent. If you know something the data doesn’t, you can weigh it yourself.
Yes, to start. Your first day is fully open, then 3 football matches a day are free — no ads, no payment details. Pro unlocks every match, the live view, AI Assist and Combo Lab.
100+ football leagues across Europe, the Americas, Asia and Africa: top divisions, many second divisions and the European club competitions.
In the Android app you subscribe through Google Play. On the web you can subscribe after signing in at edgity.app. We never handle card details. Payments are processed by Google Play and Stripe.
Not yet. On iPhone, use the web app at edgity.app/app in your browser and sign in with the same account.