How to read an Edgity match page

By Gergely Gyüre, Edgity · Published 31 October 2026

Short answer: start with the 1X2 card: three percentages that add up to 100%. The label next to each one tells you how strong it is, and the reference odds show the market’s view for comparison. Then look at expected goals and over/under to see what kind of match the model expects.

The top of the page

Above the numbers you see the teams, the league, the kick-off time and when the numbers were last computed (“Computed 12 min ago”). The model recalculates before kick-off, for example when the confirmed line-ups arrive, so a page opened in the morning and again just before the match can show slightly different numbers.

What’s behind the number? opens a short automatic summary of the data behind the main figures. Open in Assist takes you to the AI Assist, where you can ask about the match in your own words.

The 1X2 card, step by step

A diagram of the 1X2 card. The numbered markers match the list below.

The percentage is the model’s probability for that result. The three add up to 100%.
The label puts the number into words: “Most Likely” from 65%, “Likely” from 50%, “Possible” from 30%, and “Unlikely” below that. If the model and the market pick a different favourite, the label is removed and only the number stays.
The reference odds are the market’s price for the same result, for comparison. They don’t feed into the model’s percentage. (In the diagram they include a 5% margin, which is why they look a little shorter than 100 ÷ the percentage.)
The comment is one plain sentence about the market, such as “Hard to call — all three outcomes are genuinely in play.”

Under the rows you also find the model odds (the percentage turned into odds, with no margin) and the expected value against the reference odds.

The other markets

Over/under goals: the chance of more or fewer goals than a line, with the 2.5 line labelled separately (“Likely” from 60%).
Both teams to score: yes or no, “Likely” from 55%.
Double chance and draw no bet: built from the same 1X2 numbers. Draw no bet is void on a draw. These markets show the percentage without a label.
Asian handicap: the lines refer to the home team. On a whole line the result can be void if the handicap levels the score; on a half line one side always wins.
First half winner: the 1X2 for the first 45 minutes only.

Expected goals and score zones

The Expected goals (λ) card shows how many goals the model expects from each team, and the total. Every market above is worked out from these two numbers. If the match has no recorded xG, the card says so: the numbers are then the model’s estimate, not measured xG.

Score zones show the chance of the total landing in a range, such as 1–2 or 2–3 goals. The ranges overlap, so they don’t add up to 100%. Next to them is the chance of exactly 0, 1, 2, 3 or 4 goals. These are harder to predict, and the card marks them as informational only.

The Expected Value tab

This tab compares the model with the market for every outcome. “Market vs Edgity Model” puts the two probabilities side by side, with the market’s margin removed so both columns add up to 100%. A large gap is flagged as a large deviation from the market. The list is sorted by expected value, and the page says it plainly: the order is not a recommendation.

Web app and Android app

In the web app the page has five tabs: Overview, Probabilities, Expected Value, Score Zones and Events. The Android app shows the same information in its own layout. Free accounts can open a limited number of matches each day; the subscription opens all of them, plus live stats and the full AI Assist.

The takeaway

Read the page from the general to the specific: the 1X2 and its labels first, then expected goals and over/under for the shape of the match, then the rest. And treat every number as a probability, not a promise.